In addition to the HTML version of my CV, a PDF version is available here.


Ph.D. Public Policy (Political Economy), Princeton University
M.A. Public Affairs, Princeton University
B.A. Mathematics and Economics, University of California, San Diego
B.A. Political Science, University of California, San Diego


Lead economist - Open-Source Value Project, Innovation and Value Initiative, Oakland CA
Research economist, Precision Health Economics, Oakland CA
Associate research economist, Precision Health Economics, Oakland CA
Reseach economist intern, Precision Health Economics, Oakland CA
Research Associate, NERA Economic Consulting, Los Angeles, CA


Frasco MA, Shih T, Incerti D, Diaz Espinosa O, Vania DK, Thomas N. Incremental net monetary benefit of ocrelizumab relative to subcutaneous interferon β-1α. Journal of Medical Economics. 2017 Oct 3;20(10):1074-82.

Stevens W, Shih T, Incerti D, Ton TG, Lee H, Peneva D, Macones GA, Sibai BM, Jena AB. 2017. Short-term costs of preeclampsia to the United States health care system. American Journal of Obsetrics & Gynecology. 2017 Sep 1;217(3):237-48.

Shahabi A, Peneva D, Incerti D, McLaurin K, Stevens W. Assessing Variation in the Cost of Palivizumab for Respiratory Syncytial Virus Prevention in Preterm Infants. PharmacoEconomics-Open. 2017:1-9.

Jansen JP, Incerti D, Mutebi A, Peneva, D, MacEwan JP, Stolshek B, Kaur P, Gharaibeh M, Strand V. Cost-effectiveness of sequenced treatment of rheumatoid arthritis with targeted immune modulators. Journal of Medical Economics. 2017 Jul 3;20(7):703-14. (Supplement).

Manuscripts Under Review

Incerti, D. The Optimal Allocation of Campaign Funds in House Elections. (PDF, GitHub).

Ton TG, Bennett M, Incerti D, Peneva D, Druzin M, Stevens W, Butwick A, Lee HC. Maternal and infant adverse outcomes associated with preeclampsia with and without severe features in the Untied States.

Incerti D, Summers N, Ton TG, Boscoe A, Chandraker A, Stevens W. The Lifetime Health Burden of Delayed Graft Function in Kidney Transplant Recipients in the United States.

Incerti D, Browne J, Huber C, Baker CL, Makinson G, Goren A, Wilke R, Stevens W. An empirical tool for estimating and categorizing unmet need.

Working Papers

Incerti D. An Assessment of Long-term Healthcare Expenditure Risk Using a Dynamic Bayesian Model. (PDF, fake-data simulation).

Incerti D. Racial, Ethnic and Educational Disparities in Pharmaceutical Expenditures. (PDF).

Incerti D. Political Instability and Financial Markets. (PDF, GitHub).

Blog Posts

Jansen JP, Incerti D, Linthicum M. An Open-Source Consensus-Based Approach To Value Assessment. Health Affairs Blog. 2017 Dec 1.

Abstracts and Presentations

Incerti D, Curtis JR, Lorenzi M, Jansen JP. Exploring Structural Uncertainty With An Open-Source Cost-Effectiveness Model For Rheumatoid Arthritis. ISPOR Annual European Congress, Glasgow, Scotland, 2017.

Incerti D, Peneva D, Shrestha A, Ramaswamy K, Smith G, Stevens W. An Empirical Analysis of the Role of Learning by Doing in Dynamic Cost-effectiveness. ISPOR Annual European Congress, Glasgow, Scotland, 2017.

Incerti D, Curtis JR, Lorenzi M, Jansen JP. Open-Source Consensus-Based Models to Improve the Cost-Effectiveness of Rheumatology Care. ACR/ARHP Annual Meeting, Annual Meeting, San Diego, 2017.

Jansen JP, Jeffers A, Chang K, Incerti D. An Outcomes Regression Approach for Indirect Comparisons of Survival Outcomes when Standard Network Meta-Analysis is Not Feasible. ISPOR Annual International Meeting, Boston, 2017.

Wan J, Mongan J, Incerti D, Courtier J. A Shiny New World: Creating Your Own Radiology Decision Support Webapps Using R. Radiological Society of North America, Annual Meeting, Chicago, 2016.

Stevens W, Shih T, Incerti D. Estimates of costs of preeclampsia to the United States health care system. March of Dimes Prematurity Research Center at Stanford University, Palo Alto, 2016.

Shiraito Y, Incerti, D, Lopez-Moctezuma G. A Reassessment of the Resource Curse: A Bayesian Dynamic Analysis of Panel Data. Midwest Political Science Association, Annual Meeting, Chicago, 2013.


Incerti D, Jansen JP. The IVI-RA model: an open-source simulation model for assessing the value of disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) to treat rheumatoid arthritis. (GitHub)

Incerti D. hesim: an R package for fast health-economic simulation modeling. (website).

Incerti D. An R Shiny web application that aids diagnosis of skeletal dysplasias based on clinical features. (link).

Incerti D. Interactive plots of parametric survival distributions. (link).

Honors and Awards

Centennial Fellowship, Princeton University
The Award for Excellence in Joint Mathematics-Economics granted to the most outstanding graduating Senior in Joint Mathematics-Economics, UCSD Department of Economics
DeWitt Higgs Award granted to the outstanding graduating Senior in the area of law and public policy, UCSD Department of Political Science
Michael Addison Award for the most outstanding Senior research paper, Warren College (graduating class of 950 students)

Skills and Interests


Most experienced: R, Stata, LaTeX, Excel

Some experience: C++, Python, MySQL, Stan, JAGS


UCSD Varsity Baseball Letterman, shortstop and centerfield, 2004 – 2006